
|
| |
Beware the regulatory cost of going public
Financial Times
April 2005
Back in the 1980s a physics graduate named Cris met a
"quant" guy named Greg and the two founded a company to write
options trading software called Devon Systems. Both their
"quant" work - applying complex formulae to value financial
instruments - and their gut instincts convinced them that the
fastest way for start-ups to grow was to go public or be
acquired by a publicly-traded company. They chose the latter and
allowed Devon Systems to be acquired.
Fast forward a decade and a half and Cris and Greg are both
executives working in Pennsylvania. Now, however, the gents have
switched philosophies, believing that private ownership is
better than public ownership. What is more, they are betting
billions on that proposition.
The Cris in the story is Cristobal Conde, SunGard chief
executive. Last week he announced the technology vendor's
$11.3bn (£6bn) sale to a private equity consortium - history's
largest technology buy-out. Greg is Gregory Bentley, former
chairman of SunGard's audit committee and a member of the
SunGard board of directors that approved the deal.
Mr Bentley took a moment a few days ago to chat about his views
on the private-public trade-off. SunGard's shares in recent
years have tended to sell for a lower price than those of some
rivals. Perhaps SunGard would produce more value in the long
term if removed from the short-term spotlight of quarterly
expectations. As he notes, it turned out "investors who would
not pay more than 17 times earnings for SunGard stock seem to be
willing to spend 24 times earnings for the same business through
private equity firms". The deal hangs a scary amount of new debt
on the company. But that "seven times" difference is also
important. It could represent a quant guy's quantification of
the value to an investor of SunGard's not being public.
Moving away from SunGard, Mr Bentley reviewed the regulatory
burden on publicly traded technology companies. Sarbanes-Oxley,
the 2002 reform legislation, imposes new rules, including a
requirement that senior executives declare whether financial
controls are adequate. But a much bigger problem is the
interpretation of the law - by courts, colleagues and
regulators. The law's broad and ambiguous language, for example,
widens public companies' vulnerability to class actions. Stock
exchanges now demand more independent directors on boards - a
demand that is hard on quirky, insider-oriented technology
culture. Accounting rules for public companies are a problem.
Some software companies, for example, are gradually switching
their sales regimes from that of the one-off licence contract to
a subscription arrangement that encourages longer-term
relationships between vendor and customer. This switch seems
wise but making it requires companies to forgo revenues in the
short term. Then the market slams them. In short, Sarbanes-Oxley
is not the only factor when a company makes the public-private
choice. But it plays the role of an additional weight applied at
the tipping point.
Mr Bentley's views come not merely from general observation or
SunGard experience but also from time at a company of his own.
After Dover Systems, he joined his four brothers in a family
business. Bentley Systems makes software for architecture,
engineering and construction of infrastructure projects - the
Swiss Ré "gherkin" building in London, the Olympic Stadium in
Sydney - and utilities. The company grew tenfold in a decade,
creating 1,600 jobs.
By the early part of this decade, SunGard was considering an
initial public offering. After all, US securities law says that
companies with more than 500 shareholders must be subject to
many of the same rules as exchange-listed companies. Soon
Bentley would cross that line. Why not, therefore, go public?
Going public would bring capital and allow Bentley to continue
sharing wealth with talent.
It was in this period, however, that Mr Bentley chaired
SunGard's audit committee. From this perspective he could see
that going public had benefits. But not enough to make up for
the costs. The new demand for independent outsiders in
management could be fatal for Bentley. The Bentley brothers
started working together as teens, on trucks and go-carts. To
this day, most of their ideas come out of conversations among
the brothers. It remains "implausible", Mr Bentley says, that
founders would relinquish control to the extent now demanded by
regulators. The Bentleys decided they preferred to grow in
private.
It would be ridiculous to say that going public is never
worthwhile - recent IPOs demonstrate that. Still, the SunGard
and Bentley stories suggest two investment classes may be
solidifying. On top there are those in the know - hedge funds;
start-up technology geniuses and their early employees; Bain
Capital; Kohlberg Kravis Roberts and other private equity firms
and investment banks that participate in deals like SunGard's.
And their legal advisers.
Down below there are those who are less in the know. The routine
investors who may participate, but relatively late and through
layers of intermediaries. This is an outcome the opposite of
what was intended with recent reform. The irony is large and you
do not have to be a quant guy to see it.
|
|
|